Stop pretending you know what AI does to the economy

Noah Smith with the most level-headed assessment I've read so far about the seemingly omnipresent assumption that AI will be a massive job-killer and the fact that this isn't visible in any data (so far).

I think, in general, people are afraid to say “I don’t know.” I have a hypothesis that “I don’t know” is essentially coded as agreeing with whatever outcome is less politically or culturally aligned. I have no data for this, though.